Article | 10th QMOD Conference. Quality Management and Organiqatinal Development. Our Dreams of Excellence; 18-20 June; 2007 in Helsingborg; Sweden | A Piecewise Regression Model for Identifying the Strategic Inflection Point for Organizational Change

Title:
A Piecewise Regression Model for Identifying the Strategic Inflection Point for Organizational Change
Author:
Debora D’Avino: Department of Aeronautical Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, Italy Pasquale Erto: Department of Aeronautical Engineering, University of Naples Federico II, Italy
Download:
Full text (pdf)
Year:
2007
Conference:
10th QMOD Conference. Quality Management and Organiqatinal Development. Our Dreams of Excellence; 18-20 June; 2007 in Helsingborg; Sweden
Issue:
026
Article no.:
123
No. of pages:
8
Publication type:
Abstract and Fulltext
Published:
2008-02-15
Series:
Linköping Electronic Conference Proceedings
ISSN (print):
1650-3686
ISSN (online):
1650-3740
Publisher:
Linköping University Electronic Press; Linköpings universitet


Export in BibTex, RIS or text

Nowadays; organizational change has become a mandatory condition to survive in the marketplace for all companies. In fact; a business needs to be able to adapt to changes of its external environment in order to remain competitive (Black and Crumley; 1997). In particular; since the late 1970s a number of change drivers; i.e. new technologies; new knowledge; new customer preferences; the deregulation of several industries and the increased globalization of trade; have caused an acceleration of environmental change (Dervitsiotis; 2003). Consequently; it was found that in 1991; between 60-70 per cent of the Fortune 100 largest global companies did not exist at all or in any form similar to what they were like in 1970 (Stockport; 2000). Therefore; many business school academics tried to identify the reasons of these failures. A typical example of the examined case studies is the history of the disk drive industry; where changes in technology; market structure; global scope and vertical integration have been very pervasive; rapid and unrelenting (Christensen; 1997). For this case; some scholars have attributed the high mortality rate to the unfathomable pace of technological change. On the contrary; a deeper study of the history of the disk drive industry revealed that the different impact of technological change were at the root of the leading firms’ failures (Christensen; 1997). Two types of technological change were identified: the technological changes that sustain or reinforce established trajectories of product performance (sustaining technologies) and the technological changes that disrupt or redefine performance trajectories (disrupting technologies). The last ones result in the failure of the industry’s leading firms.

In the same way; we can characterize two different environmental changes: sustaining changes and disrupting changes. Therefore; when a sustaining change occurs; an organization can survive in the marketplace with minor adjustments or adaptation. Instead; when a disrupting change occurs; an organization has to face with a larger strategic transformation.

Keywords: Organizational change; Piecewise regression; S-curve; Strategic inflection point

10th QMOD Conference. Quality Management and Organiqatinal Development. Our Dreams of Excellence; 18-20 June; 2007 in Helsingborg; Sweden

Author:
Debora D’Avino, Pasquale Erto
Title:
A Piecewise Regression Model for Identifying the Strategic Inflection Point for Organizational Change
References:

Asthana; P.; (1995); “Jumping the technology S-curve”; IEEE Spectrum; June; pp. 49- 54


Black; S. A.; Crumley; H. C.; (1997); “Self-assessment: What’s in it for us?”; Total Quality Management; vol. 8; no. 2&3; pp. S90-S93.


Christensen; C. M.; (1997); The Innovator’s Dilemma; Harvard Business School Press


Dervitsiotis; K. N.; (2003); “The pursuit of sustainable business excellence: guiding transformation for effective organizational change”; Total Quality Management; vol. 14; no. 3; pp. 251-267


Dervitsiotis; K. N.; (2005); “Creating conditions to nourish sustainable organizational excellence”; Total Quality Management; vol. 16; no. 8; pp. 925-943


Efron; B.; Tibshirani; R. J.; (1994); An introduction to the bootstrap; FL: CRC Press; Boca Raton


Erto; P.; (1997); “Modelling of the technological innovation process”; Conf. ISO 9000 Series 9000 Standards; Statistical Methods; Problems of Certification; Nizhny Novgorod; Russia


Hudson; D. J.; (1966); “Fitting segmented curves whose join points have to be estimated”; Journal of the American Statistical Association; vol. 61; no. 316; pp. 1097; 1129


Ratwosky; D. A.; (1983); Nonlinear regression modeling. A unified practical approach; Marcel Dekker; Inc.; New York


Robinson; D. E.; (1964); “Estimates for the points of intersection of two polynomial regressions”; Journal of the American Statistical Association; vol. 59; no. 305; pp. 214-224


Stockport; G. J.; (2000); “Developing skills in strategic transformation”; European Journal of Innovation Management; vol. 3; no. 1; pp. 45-52

10th QMOD Conference. Quality Management and Organiqatinal Development. Our Dreams of Excellence; 18-20 June; 2007 in Helsingborg; Sweden

Author:
Debora D’Avino, Pasquale Erto
Title:
A Piecewise Regression Model for Identifying the Strategic Inflection Point for Organizational Change
Note: the following are taken directly from CrossRef
Citations:
No citations available at the moment